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Betting the Big Ten

June 27, 2009

 

Big Ten teams were just 15-26-1 ATS in non-conference games last year, adding to the perception that the league really isn't that good any more, a trend college football betting enthusiasts will monitor this season. Teams are listed in predicted order of finish with 2008 records, returning starters (RS) - including kickers - and returning lettermen (RL) in parentheses:

 

PENN STATE (11-2 SU, 8-4 ATS, 9 RS, 37 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2008)

SU:  66-44

ATS: 56-51-1

HF:  26-18-1

HD:   8-6

AF:  11-11

AD:   9-12

Sportsbook Buster: The Nittany Lions have covered seven of their last eight games against Temple.

Sports Betting Angle: The home team is 9-2 ATS the last 11 games in the Penn State-Ohio State series.

 

OHIO STATE (10-3 SU, 6-6 ATS, 12 RS, 38 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2008)

SU:  91-23

ATS: 61-50-1

HF:  31-25-1

HD:   1-2

AF:  21-13

AD:   3-5

Sportsbook Buster: The Buckeyes are 21-13 as a road favorite the last nine years.

Sports Betting Angle: Ohio State has covered the spread seven of the last eight visits to Indiana.

 

IOWA (9-4 SU, 7-5 ATS, 14 RS, 49 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2008)

SU:  69-43

ATS: 63-44-2

HF:  26-15

HD:   9-4-1

AF:   6-11

AD:  15-11-1

Sportsbook Buster: The Hawkeyes are 35-19-1 ATS at home the last nine seasons.

Sports Betting Angle: Iowa has covered eight straight games the week before playing Indiana.

 

ILLINOIS (5-7 SU, 4-7 ATS, 13 RS, 46 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2008)

SU:  42-64

ATS: 44-57

HF:  12-16

HD:  12-11

AF:   6-7

AD:  14-16

Sportsbook Buster: The Illini are 18-35 ATS in games following a SU loss the last nine years.

Sports Betting Angle: Illinois has covered six of its last eight games against Ohio State.

 

MICHIGAN STATE (9-4 SU, 6-6-1 ATS, 15 RS, 45 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2008)

SU:  54-55

ATS: 46-59-4

HF:  16-25-1

HD:   6-9-3

AF:   7-10

AD:  15-13

Sportsbook Buster: The Spartans are 9-3 ATS in their last home game of the season the past 12 years.

Sports Betting Angle: Michigan State is 10-2-1 ATS the last 13 years versus Notre Dame.

 

WISCONSIN (7-6 SU, 5-7 ATS, 11 RS, 42 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2008)

SU:  76-40

ATS: 55-55-1

HF:  20-25-1

HD:   7-5

AF:  13-12

AD:  10-9

Sportsbook Buster: The Badgers are 8-0 as a non-conference favorite of less than 24 points.

Sports Betting Angle: Wisconsin is 5-1 ATS the last six home games against Michigan.

 

MICHIGAN (3-9 SU, 2-10 ATS, 15 RS, 51 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2008)

SU:  76-36

ATS: 51-57-3

HF:  26-28-1

HD:   2-3

AF:  12-16-2

AD:   8-5

Sportsbook Buster: The Wolverines are 14-25 ATS versus non-conference opponents the last eight years.

Sports Betting Angle: Michigan has covered four straight home games against Purdue.

 

MINNESOTA (7-6 SU, 7-5 ATS, 17 RS, 54 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2008)

SU:  56-55

ATS: 52-53

HF:  20-16

HD:   6-10

AF:  12-6

AD:  11-17

Sportsbook Buster: The Golden Gophers have covered six straight at Northwestern.

Sports Betting Angle: Minnesota is 7-1 ATS the week after playing Penn State.

 

NORTHWESTERN (9-4 SU, 7-5 ATS, 13 RS, 48 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2008)

SU:  53-56

ATS: 54-50-2

HF:   8-15

HD:  17-12

AF:   7-5

AD:  19-16-2

Sportsbook Buster: The Wildcats are only 8-15 as a home favorite the past nine seasons.

Sports Betting Angle: Northwestern has covered four in a row at Michigan State.

 

PURDUE (4-8 SU, 5-6 ATS, 12 RS, 49 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2008)

SU:  62-50

ATS: 51-53-4

HF:  25-19-1

HD:   5-5

AF:  10-11-2

AD:   9-13-1

Sportsbook Buster: The Boilermakers are 5-0 ATS the week before playing Illinois.

Sports Betting Angle: Purdue has covered four of its last five against Ohio State.

 

INDIANA (3-9 SU, 2-9 ATS, 15 RS, 49 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2008)

SU:  35-70

ATS: 36-62-1

HF:  11-8

HD:  11-21

AF:   0-3-1

AD:  13-29

Sportsbook Buster: The Hoosiers are 24-50 as an underdog since the 2000 season.

Sports Betting Angle: Indiana is a surprising 10-2 ATS in its first conference road game of the year.

 

 

Legend:

SU  = Straight Up                        

ATS = Against the Spread                 

HF = Home Favorite

HD = Home Underdog

AF = Away Favorite

AD = Away Underdog

 

This is the second installment of an 11-part preview series.

Next: College Football Betting 2009: Examining the Big 12

 


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