College Basketball Betting: Analyzing the Horizon League
January 12, 2009
Horizon League teams were 51-40-2 ATS outside their conference a year ago, trend college basketball betting enthusiasts surely will be watching this season. Straight up (SU), against the spread (ATS), and over/under (O/U) records for the 2007/08 season are in parentheses:
CLEVELANDSTATE (21-13 SU, 18-13 ATS, 13-17-1 O/U): The return of four starters, including J'Nathan Bullock (14.8 PPG0 and Cedric Jackson (13.9 PPG) make the Vikings league favorites.
By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)
Home Favorite:7-4
Home Underdog:1-1
Away Favorite:2-0
Away Underdog:5-6
Neutral Site:3-1
Sportsbook Buster: The Vikings were 11-5 as favorites last season.
Sports Betting Angle:ClevelandState was 14-5 ATS in games following a SU win last season.
WRIGHTSTATE (21-10 SU, 14-13-2 ATS, 14-14-1 O/U): The Raiders boast a high quality backcourt but have lost three starters in the frontcourt.
By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)
Home Favorite:2-9
Home Underdog:2-1
Away Favorite:1-1-2
Away Underdog:8-1
Neutral site:1-1
Sportsbook Buster: The Raiders were 4-10 ATS at home but 9-2-2 ATS on the road.
Sports Betting Angle: WrightState was 10-2 as an underdog.
UW-GREENBAY (15-15 SU, 11-13-3 ATS, 15-12 O/U): All five starters are back from a team that underperformed. Better defense is a requirement.
By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)
Home Favorite:5-4-1
Home Underdog:1-1
Away Favorite:0-0-1
Away Underdog:4-7-1
Neutral Site:1-0
Sportsbook Buster: The Phoenix was 3-8-2 ATS on two or fewer days rest.
Sports Betting Angle: The "over" was 1-4 when Wisconsin-GreenBay was an underdog.
BUTLER (30-4 SU, 17-15-1 ATS, 17-16 O/U): Matt Howard (12.3 PPG as a frosh) is the lone returning starter to a team that must be rebuilt.
By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)
Home Favorite:9-7
Home Underdog:0-0
Away Favorite:4-6-1
Away Underdog:1-0
Neutral Site:3-2
Sportsbook Buster: The Bulldogs were 7-12-1 ATS in league games.
Sports Betting Angle: The "under" was 9-3 in Butler road games.
ILLINOIS-CHICAGO (18-15 SU, 18-12-1 ATS, 13-18 O/U): The top three scorers return and the Flames have a shot at another winning season.
By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)
Home Favorite:7-2-1
Home Underdog: 1-1
Away Favorite:0-2
Away Underdog:8-5
Neutral Site:2-2
Sportsbook Buster: The Flames were 7-2-1 as a home favorite.
Sports Betting Angle: Illinois-Chicago was 9-1-1 ATS after a SU defeat.
VALPARAISO (22-14 SU, 15-15-2 ATS, 19-13 O/U): The top two scorers have departed but Coach Homer Drew rarely has a team that isn't a contender.
By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)
Home Favorite:5-7
Home Underdog:0-0-1
Away Favorite:1-0-1
Away Underdog:6-5
Neutral Site:2-2
Sportsbook Buster: The Crusaders were 11-8-1 ATS after a SU win.
Sports Betting Angle: The "over" was 13-8 in Valparaiso league games.
LOYOLA ILLINOIS (12-19 SU, 12-14-2 ATS, 10-18 O/U): The Ramblers return four starters but need to shoot better to move up the league standings.
By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)
Home Favorite:1-6
Home Underdog:1-1-1
Away Favorite:1-0
Away Underdog:7-6-1
Neutral Site:0-1
Sportsbook Buster: The Ramblers were 1-6 as home favorites.
Sports Betting Angle: Loyola-Illinois was 2-9-1 ATS after a pointspread win.
UW-MILWAUKEE (14-16 SU, 12-15 ATS, 13-14 O/U): The Panthers made strides last season and, though young, could earn a winning record.
By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)
Home Favorite:3-6
Home Underdog:2-3
Away Favorite:1-1
Away Underdog:6-5
Neutral Site:0-0
Sportsbook Buster: The Panthers were 5-9 ATS at home.
Sports Betting Angle: Wisconsin-Milwaukee was 3-9 ATS following a pointspread win.
YOUNGSTOWNSTATE (9-21 SU, 15-9-2 ATS, 14-12 O/U): Seven newcomers will try to lift the fortunes of a program that has had double-digit wins just once in the last seven seasons.
By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)
Home Favorite:2-1
Home Underdog:3-1-2
Away Favorite:0-0
Away Underdog:8-7
Neutral Site:1-0
Sportsbook Buster: The Penguins were 12-5-2 ATS in league play.
Sports Betting Angle: YoungstownState was 6-1 ATS after a pointspread loss.
DETROIT (7-23 SU, 11-13-3 ATS, 10-17 O/U): New Head Coach Ray McCallum will need time if the Titans are to become a respectable hoops program.
By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)
Home Favorite:1-3
Home Underdog:4-4-2
Away Favorite:0-0
Away Underdog:6-6-1
Neutral Site:0-0
Sportsbook Buster: The Titans were 6-12-2 ATS after a SU defeat.
Sports Betting Angle: The "under" was 13-6 in Detroit league games.