MLB Betting: 4 X-Factors To Look For When Picking A World Series Winner



While picking a championship winner in the NBA, NFL, or NHL is not as difficult, making a pick is a bit tougher when it comes to the MLB. With so many variables to account for (batters, pitchers, managers, bullpen, ballparks, weather, etc.), the list could go on and on. However, this doesn’t mean that you should completely abandon the process of analyzing a series in detail and go with your intuition or gut feeling. Shortcuts are never the way to go about anything in life. When trying to pick a World Series winner, here are four x-factors to look for.

Momentum

Momentum is an extremely important factor that sometimes doesn’t as much attention as it should. As is often seen in the regular season, teams or players on a hot streak just can’t seem to slow down while teams or players on a cold streak just can’t seen to get anything going. Streaks could last for a few days to well over a month, which could play a significant role when referring to a seven-game series. If a team has been riding a wave of momentum to clinch the American League or National League Championship Series but is required to rest for a full week before the Championship Series from the other side finishes in order to begin the World Series, this could have a detrimental impact on the team as the long layover will usually not end up benefitting the team getting extra “rest”. When a World Series is decided by a couple of runs, the ups and downs of momentum swings could mean all the difference.

Starting Pitching

At this point in the season, only the best starting pitchers will take the mound. Fringe starters will not be relied upon unless unforeseen circumstances occur, primarily relating to injuries. Since runs come at a much higher premium in the postseason and especially in the World Series, starting pitchers are usually able to control the pace of the game, with games decided by one run being a more common occurrence. When a team possesses two superstar starting pitchers, it would be quite difficult for any team to win four out of seven games against potential Cy Young candidates. Additionally, with the World Series being stretched out to allow for travel back and forth, these starting pitchers will be afforded more rest, which means that an ace could potentially start three games if the series goes to seven games.

Managing

When the World Series rolls around, managerial decisions become magnified, as one wrong move may cost the team the championship. The team’s manager will have a lot of power in these instances and with great power comes great responsibility. Some of the more common questions that’ll come up are, “did he take out the starting pitcher too early or leave the starting pitcher too late into the game?” or “should he have pinch hit for the current batter?”. Hindsight is always 20/20 and as a result, when a managerial decision results in a positive outcome for the team, the decision is applauded. On the other hand, when a managerial decision results in a disastrous ending for the team, the decision is heavily criticized.

Experience

They say that experience is the best teacher and this couldn’t be truer when applied to a World Series setting. Often times, younger players become too caught up in the moment and try to overdo every single little thing in the World Series, which ends up working against them and their team. On the other hand, players with experience tend to maintain their composure better and live in the moment. The best way to learn is arguably through your mistakes and for players who’ve already had one or more cracks in the World Series, this could make all the difference when a game comes down to the wire and they’re required to pull through.