PGA Betting: Handicapping The 2015 Deutsche Bank Championship



The ongoing battle for the top spot in the World Golf Rankings has created an interesting subplot heading in to this week’s Deutsche Bank Championship with Rory McIlroy climbing back in to top spot after Jordan Spieth stole the No. 1 position for a short reign. Adding to the scenario’s intrigue is the fact that Jason Day could potentially overtake both of them for top spot with another win this weekend as he enters this tournament as the favorite after an incredible run over the last month. Here is a look at the best bets on the board for the 2015 Deutsche Bank Championship.

The Favorite
Jason Day +605

Day followed up his PGA Championship win with another victory at The Barclays last weekend and no golfer is hotter than the Australian heading in to this week’s tournament. Day has won three of the last four events and has posted top-10 finishes in 10 of his 18 starts. Day has performed well at TPC Boston in the past including three top-10 finishes and he will be looking to make history as potentially the sixth golfer to win consecutive events in playoff history.

Next In Line
Rory McIlroy +750

McIlroy’s only start following his ankle injury was a T-17th at Whistling Straits so despite being back at No. 1 in the world there is reason to be cautious about taking him heading in to this weekend’s event.  McIlroy did win here in 2012 and recorded a T-5th last year but until we are still a little uncertain about how he will hold up.

Jordan Spieth +750

Spieth shocked the golfing world with a missed cut at The Barclays last week and it will be interesting to see how he responds after losing his temporary grip on top spot in the World Golf Rankings. Spieth has certainly proven he can handle the pressure of the big stage and he should bounce back with a strong performance and contend for the win at TPC Boston.

Henrik Stenson +1415

Stenson is coming off a runner-up finish at Plainfield and is a decent value play this weekend at +1400 odds after posting three top-six finishes over his last six starts. There is no doubt about Stenson’s confidence heading in to this event and considering his tournament record-tying 22-under here in 2013 he is definitely a strong contender worth taking a shot on with the majority of the focus on Day, McIlroy and Spieth.

Dustin Johnson +1415

Johnson’s power was on display again last weekend at Plainfield and he has registered a pair of top-four finishes at TPC Boston but we aren’t ready to bet on him to win this event. Johnson has all of the tools to win this weekend but there are too many other contenders performing at a high level to bet on him.

Sleeper Pick
Bubba Watson +1815

Watson might not exactly be a sleeper pick but at +2000 odds he is definitely considered a long shot and that makes him an excellent value play. Watson was frustrated at times by the greens at Plainfield last weekend but he rallied to finish third at The Barclays and looks like a strong value play as a sleeper pick for this weekend.

Consensus Best Bet: Henrik Stenson +1415

Player To Win
Jason Day +605
Jodan Spieth +750
Rory McIlroy +750
Dustin Johnson +1415
Justin Rose +1550
Henrik Stenson +1415
Bubba Watson +1815
Rickie Fowler +3250
Zach Johnson +3550
Hideki Matsuyama +3550
Brooks Koepka +3550
Jim Furyk +3550
Louis Oosthuizen +4050
Matt Kuchar +4050
Webb Simpson +4550
Paul Casey +4550
Robert Streb +4550
Brandt Snedeker +5050
Phil Mickelson +5500
Justin Thomas +6550
Tony Finau +6550
Russell Henley +7050
Bill Haas +6550
Luke Donald +7550
Danny Lee +7550
Keegan Bradley +7550
Ryan Palmer +7550
Jason Dufner +7550
Patrick Reed +7550
Billy Horschel +8550