How Different Surfaces Affect Tennis Betting

Tennis is one of the unique sports in which the setting of the matches can have a tremendous impact on their outcome. The ATP calendar consists of 65 main tour events spread out across four different types of surfaces and each of them is different. Here is a look at how different surfaces affect betting on tennis matches.

The Impact Of Different Surfaces

The four different surfaces on which ATP Tour events are held include outdoor hard court, indoor hard court, clay court and grass and the numbers recorded over the years illustrate the impact the surfaces have on the matches. For example, clay is widely regarded as the slowest surface and the numbers illustrate that with a 3.0% less service hold percentage than the mean. Meanwhile, the grass surface is considered the fastest and it has a 3.8% higher percentage of service hold percentage than the average. The fact that different players have different strengths and styles means that they can be expected to perform better on some surfaces than they do on others.

The Player Results

The numbers that each player on the ATP and WTA Tours records are tracked and then kept online so that the general public can analyze how these players perform on different surfaces. For example, Serena Williams has done a better job holding serve on clay surfaces than on hard surfaces, but her best service hold percentage has come on grass. These might not seem like the most important numbers on the surface but they are very relevant when it comes to evaluating and projecting how matches will unfold based on the surface on which they are held.

Evaluating Surface Impact

Its important to use the surface numbers as a factor for predicting matches but that doesn’t mean they should be used as the only indicator for which way to bet. For example, Novak Djokovic has been a much better player on the hard court surfaces than on clay but that doesn’t mean he won’t beat a player ranked outside the op-25 in his next match on a clay surface. Of course, if Djokovic is a much better player than his opponent then the surface might not factor in as greatly as it would in a battle between two evenly matched tennis players.


There is no doubt that the surface plays a role in determining the outcome of individual matches and entire tournaments as a whole to some degree. The key is to understand where it has the biggest impact and how to use it to your advantage. The information and splits are available online and easy to find so don’t hesitate to do the necessary research in order to try to find a winning angle. It might not make sense to pick winners based on surfaces alone but it certainly makes a lot of sense to factor them in to the equation and understand the impact different surfaces can have in determining the outcome of matches.